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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Kayserispor x Besiktas Betting tips for September 30 in Turkey Super Lig
Monday, 30 September 2024, 14h00 Turkey Super Lig
Kayserispor Kayserispor
PREDICTION Besiktas Wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Besiktas Besiktas
ODD: @1.65 Don't miss this prediction!

Kayserispor x Besiktas Betting tips for September 30 in Turkey Super Lig

Our betting tip for Kayserispor x Besiktas, Monday, 30/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 30/9/2024
14:00
Kayserispor Kayserispor
4.35
X
4.00
Besiktas Besiktas
1.65

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Kayserispor x Besiktas:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Besiktas wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Besiktas, you can win up to $825.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Kayserispor x Besiktas:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kayserispor in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Besiktas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $15.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Kayserispor scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 Kayserispor matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Kayserispor conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Besiktas conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Kayserispor x Besiktas?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Kayserispor x Besiktas for the Turkey Super Lig – 30 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Kayserispor X Besiktas – Turkey Super Lig
๐Ÿ“… 30 of September, 2024 – 14:00
๐Ÿ”ต Kayserispor – Winning probability: 14.82% | Fair line: 6.75
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.00% | Fair line: 5.0
๐Ÿ”ด Besiktas – Winning probability: 65.19% | Fair line: 1.53
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Kayserispor
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Kayserispor and Besiktas.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191189 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Kayserispor x Besiktas

Is it worth betting on Kayserispor?

๐Ÿ”ต Kayserispor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.82%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $502.50
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$347.50.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $600.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$200.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Besiktas?

๐Ÿ”ด Besiktas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 650 times – having a profit of $422.50;
  • And would lose other 350 times – having a loss of -$350.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$72.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kayserispor x Besiktas

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Kayserispor
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kayserispor x Besiktas

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Kayserispor and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Kayserispor.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Kayserispor.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kayserispor x Besiktas

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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