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Kayserispor x Istanbul Basaksehir Betting tips for January 19 in Turkey Super Lig

Our betting tip for Kayserispor x Istanbul Basaksehir, Wednesday, 19/1/2022
๐Ÿ“… 19/1/2022
14:00
Kayserispor
3.20
X
3.38
Istanbul Basaksehir
2.15

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Kayserispor x Istanbul Basaksehir:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Istanbul Basaksehir wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Istanbul Basaksehir, you can win up to $1073.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Kayserispor x Istanbul Basaksehir

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Kayserispor x Istanbul Basaksehir?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best bookies from 2022, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Kayserispor x Istanbul Basaksehir:

Analysis from Kayserispor x Istanbul Basaksehir for the Turkey Super Lig – 19 of January

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Kayserispor X Istanbul Basaksehir – Turkey Super Lig
๐Ÿ“… 19 of January, 2022 – 14:00
๐Ÿ”ต Kayserispor – Winning probability: 12.56% | Fair line: 7.96
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.59% | Fair line: 3.76
๐Ÿ”ด Istanbul Basaksehir – Winning probability: 60.86% | Fair line: 1.64
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Kayserispor
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Kayserispor and Istanbul Basaksehir.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 289741 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Kayserispor x Istanbul Basaksehir

Is it worth betting on Kayserispor?

๐Ÿ”ต Kayserispor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $286.00;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$584.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $641.25
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$88.75.

Should you bet on Istanbul Basaksehir?

๐Ÿ”ด Istanbul Basaksehir: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – profiting $699.06;
  • And would lose other 390 times – losing -$390.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$309.06.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Kayserispor x Istanbul Basaksehir

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Kayserispor
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kayserispor x Istanbul Basaksehir

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Kayserispor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Kayserispor.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Istanbul Basaksehir.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kayserispor x Istanbul Basaksehir

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Our tips are also on YouTube

Keep in mind that our team of bettors is daily on YouTube with complete videos of analysis for the best matches of the day. Check out our bets for this Wednesday right above and subscribe to our betting tips channel.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves