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Home Β» Predictions Β» Kazincbarcikai BSC x Kozarmisleny SE Betting tips for September 29 in Hungary NB II
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 12h00 Hungary NB II
Kazincbarcikai BSC Kazincbarcikai BSC
PREDICTION No tip
Kozarmisleny SE Kozarmisleny SE
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Kazincbarcikai BSC x Kozarmisleny SE Betting tips for September 29 in Hungary NB II

Our betting tip for Kazincbarcikai BSC x Kozarmisleny SE, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
12:00
Kazincbarcikai BSC Kazincbarcikai BSC
2.20
X
3.30
Kozarmisleny SE Kozarmisleny SE
2.97

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Kazincbarcikai BSC x Kozarmisleny SE:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Kazincbarcikai BSC x Kozarmisleny SE

The main points for the tip for Kazincbarcikai BSC x Kozarmisleny SE:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kazincbarcikai BSC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-40.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kozarmisleny SE in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Kazincbarcikai BSC scored at least 2.0 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Kozarmisleny SE scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Kazincbarcikai BSC x Kozarmisleny SE for the Hungary NB II – 29 of September

🏟️ Kazincbarcikai BSC X Kozarmisleny SE – Hungary NB II
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 12:00
πŸ”΅ Kazincbarcikai BSC – Winning probability: 55.09% | Fair line: 1.82
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.71% | Fair line: 5.35
πŸ”΄ Kozarmisleny SE – Winning probability: 26.20% | Fair line: 3.82
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Kazincbarcikai BSC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Kazincbarcikai BSC and Kozarmisleny SE.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Kazincbarcikai BSC x Kozarmisleny SE

Is betting on Kazincbarcikai BSC worth it?

πŸ”΅ Kazincbarcikai BSC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 550 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
  • And would lose other 450 times – having a loss of -$450.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$210.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $437.00;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$373.00.

Is it worth betting on Kozarmisleny SE?

πŸ”΄ Kozarmisleny SE: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.97. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $512.20;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$227.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kazincbarcikai BSC x Kozarmisleny SE

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Kazincbarcikai BSC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kazincbarcikai BSC x Kozarmisleny SE

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Kazincbarcikai BSC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Kazincbarcikai BSC.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kazincbarcikai BSC x Kozarmisleny SE

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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