Kedus Giorgis x Ethiopia Nigd Bank Betting tips for April 14 in Ethiopia Premier League

Our betting tip for Kedus Giorgis x Ethiopia Nigd Bank, Monday, 14/4/2025

📅 14/4/2025 06:30

Kedus Giorgis 2.98

X 2.78

Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2.48

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Kedus Giorgis x Ethiopia Nigd Bank:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Kedus Giorgis x Ethiopia Nigd Bank

Some important points for the tip for Kedus Giorgis x Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Kedus Giorgis in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ethiopia Nigd Bank in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-105.0. 👉 Kedus Giorgis did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Ethiopia Nigd Bank scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Kedus Giorgis matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from Kedus Giorgis x Ethiopia Nigd Bank for the Ethiopia Premier League – 14 of April

When the best bet on Kedus Giorgis x Ethiopia Nigd Bank is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302894 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Kedus Giorgis x Ethiopia Nigd Bank

Should you bet on Kedus Giorgis?

🔵 Kedus Giorgis: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.98. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $613.80
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$76.20. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 340 times – profiting $605.20;
• And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$54.80.

Is betting on Ethiopia Nigd Bank worth it?

🔴 Ethiopia Nigd Bank: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 350 times – profiting $518.00;
• And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$132.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Kedus Giorgis x Ethiopia Nigd Bank

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Kedus Giorgis
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kedus Giorgis x Ethiopia Nigd Bank

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Kedus Giorgis, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Kedus Giorgis.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Ethiopia Nigd Bank.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kedus Giorgis x Ethiopia Nigd Bank

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.