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Home ยป Predictions ยป Kedus Giorgis x Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Betting tips for September 30 in Ethiopia Premier League
Monday, 30 September 2024, 10h00 Ethiopia Premier League
Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis
PREDICTION Kedus Giorgis wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction!

Kedus Giorgis x Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Betting tips for September 30 in Ethiopia Premier League

Our betting tip for Kedus Giorgis x Mekelle 70 Enderta FC, Monday, 30/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 30/9/2024
10:00
Kedus Giorgis Kedus Giorgis
1.70
X
3.30
Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Mekelle 70 Enderta FC
4.68

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Kedus Giorgis x Mekelle 70 Enderta FC:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Kedus Giorgis wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kedus Giorgis, you can win up to $850.00!

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Important information for your tip for Kedus Giorgis x Mekelle 70 Enderta FC:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kedus Giorgis in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-74.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Kedus Giorgis scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Mekelle 70 Enderta FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Mekelle 70 Enderta FC, Kedus Giorgis scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Kedus Giorgis matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Mekelle 70 Enderta FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Kedus Giorgis has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Mekelle 70 Enderta FC playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Kedus Giorgis x Mekelle 70 Enderta FC for the Ethiopia Premier League – 30 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Kedus Giorgis X Mekelle 70 Enderta FC – Ethiopia Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 30 of September, 2024 – 10:00
๐Ÿ”ต Kedus Giorgis – Winning probability: 63.40% | Fair line: 1.58
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.81% | Fair line: 4.03
๐Ÿ”ด Mekelle 70 Enderta FC – Winning probability: 11.79% | Fair line: 8.48
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Kedus Giorgis
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kedus Giorgis x Mekelle 70 Enderta FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1191189 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Kedus Giorgis x Mekelle 70 Enderta FC

Is betting on Kedus Giorgis worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Kedus Giorgis: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $441.00;
  • And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$71.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $575.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$175.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Mekelle 70 Enderta FC?

๐Ÿ”ด Mekelle 70 Enderta FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $441.60
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$438.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kedus Giorgis x Mekelle 70 Enderta FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Kedus Giorgis
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kedus Giorgis x Mekelle 70 Enderta FC

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Kedus Giorgis, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Kedus Giorgis.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kedus Giorgis x Mekelle 70 Enderta FC

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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