Kelty Hearts x Stenhousemuir Betting tips for January 11 in Scotland League One
| 📅 11/1/2025 17:30 |
 Kelty Hearts2.18 |
X 3.38 |
Stenhousemuir  2.87 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Kelty Hearts x Stenhousemuir:
🔮 Stenhousemuir wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Stenhousemuir, you can win up to $1435.00!
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Important information for your tip for Kelty Hearts x Stenhousemuir: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Kelty Hearts in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $235.0. |
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Analysis from Kelty Hearts x Stenhousemuir for the Scotland League One – 11 of January
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🏟️ Kelty Hearts X Stenhousemuir – Scotland League One |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kelty Hearts x Stenhousemuir right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Kelty Hearts x Stenhousemuir
Is betting on Kelty Hearts worth it?
🔵 Kelty Hearts: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $354.00;
- And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$346.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 290 times – profiting $690.20;
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$19.80 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is betting on Stenhousemuir worth it?
🔴 Stenhousemuir: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.87. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 410 times – profiting $766.70;
- And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$176.70.
Handicaps analysis for the match Kelty Hearts x Stenhousemuir
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Kelty Hearts
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kelty Hearts x Stenhousemuir
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Kelty Hearts and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Kelty Hearts.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Stenhousemuir.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kelty Hearts x Stenhousemuir
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
