KePS x Villan Pojat Betting tips for July 5 in Finland Kolmonen
| 📅 5/7/2025 14:00 |
 KePS1.91 |
X 4.20 |
Villan Pojat 2.85 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for KePS x Villan Pojat:
🔮 KePS wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on KePS, you can win up to $955.00!
Important information for your tip for KePS x Villan Pojat:
👉 If you had bet $100 on KePS in each of its last 3 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $50.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, KePS scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Villan Pojat scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Villan Pojat matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, KePS conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Villan Pojat conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Villan Pojat is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on KePS x Villan Pojat?
If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on KePS x Villan Pojat:
Analysis from KePS x Villan Pojat for the Finland Kolmonen – 5 of July
🏟️ KePS X Villan Pojat – Finland Kolmonen
📅 5 of July, 2025 – 14:00
🔵 KePS – Winning probability: 60.18% | Fair line: 1.66
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.34% | Fair line: 6.52
🔴 Villan Pojat – Winning probability: 24.48% | Fair line: 4.08
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 KePS
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for KePS x Villan Pojat right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1348486 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for KePS x Villan Pojat
Is it a good idea to bet on KePS?
🔵 KePS: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 600 times – profiting $546.00;
- And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$146.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $480.00;
- And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$370.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Villan Pojat?
🔴 Villan Pojat: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $444.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$316.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match KePS x Villan Pojat
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 KePS
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KePS x Villan Pojat
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 KePS and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 KePS.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 KePS.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KePS x Villan Pojat
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.
