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16/1/2022 14:00 |
 Kerala Blasters2.95 |
X 3.43 |
Mumbai City FC  2.13 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Kerala Blasters x Mumbai City FC:
๐ฎ Mumbai City FC wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mumbai City FC, you can win up to $1067.50!
๐ You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Kerala Blasters x Mumbai City FC
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Analysis from Kerala Blasters x Mumbai City FC for the India Super League – 16 of January
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๐๏ธ Kerala Blasters X Mumbai City FC – India Super League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kerala Blasters x Mumbai City FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 288046 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Kerala Blasters x Mumbai City FC
Is betting on Kerala Blasters worth it?
๐ต Kerala Blasters: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $487.50;
- And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$262.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.43. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $607.50
- And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$142.50.
Is it worth betting on Mumbai City FC?
๐ด Mumbai City FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.13. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $578.85;
- And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$88.85.
Handicaps analysis for the match Kerala Blasters x Mumbai City FC
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
โ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Kerala Blasters
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kerala Blasters x Mumbai City FC
โ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Kerala Blasters and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Kerala Blasters.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kerala Blasters x Mumbai City FC
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
