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Kettering x Mickleover Sports Betting tips for November 21 in England Southern Premier League Central

Our betting tip for Kettering x Mickleover Sports, Tuesday, 21/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 21/11/2023
19:45
Kettering Kettering
3.40
X
3.80
Mickleover Sports Mickleover Sports
1.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Kettering x Mickleover Sports:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Mickleover Sports wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mickleover Sports, you can win up to $900.00!

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The main points for the tip for Kettering x Mickleover Sports:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kettering in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-123.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mickleover Sports in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $160.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Mickleover Sports scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Kettering matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Mickleover Sports matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Kettering conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Kettering x Mickleover Sports

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Summary

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Analysis from Kettering x Mickleover Sports for the England Southern Premier League Central – 21 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Kettering X Mickleover Sports – England Southern Premier League Central
๐Ÿ“… 21 of November, 2023 – 19:45
๐Ÿ”ต Kettering – Winning probability: 8.71% | Fair line: 11.48
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.75% | Fair line: 5.97
๐Ÿ”ด Mickleover Sports – Winning probability: 74.54% | Fair line: 1.34
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Kettering
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Kettering x Mickleover Sports is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024310 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Kettering x Mickleover Sports

Is it worth betting on Kettering?

๐Ÿ”ต Kettering: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $216.00;
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$694.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $476.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$354.00.

Should you bet on Mickleover Sports?

๐Ÿ”ด Mickleover Sports: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 74.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 750 times – profiting $600.00;
  • And would have lost other 250 times – with a loss of -$250.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$350.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kettering x Mickleover Sports

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Kettering
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kettering x Mickleover Sports

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Kettering and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Kettering.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Mickleover Sports.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kettering x Mickleover Sports

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves