KF Erzeni x FK Kukesi Betting tips for March 9 in Albania First Division

Our betting tip for KF Erzeni x FK Kukesi, Sunday, 9/3/2025

📅 9/3/2025
13:00

KF Erzeni
2.80

X
3.75

FK Kukesi

2.05

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for KF Erzeni x FK Kukesi:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for KF Erzeni x FK Kukesi

The main points for the tip for KF Erzeni x FK Kukesi:

👉 If you had bet $100 on KF Erzeni in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-262.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FK Kukesi in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, FK Kukesi conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for FK Kukesi as away team: it comes from 8 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Summary

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Analysis from KF Erzeni x FK Kukesi for the Albania First Division – 9 of March

🏟️ KF Erzeni X FK Kukesi – Albania First Division
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 13:00
🔵 KF Erzeni – Winning probability: 19.39% | Fair line: 5.16
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.42% | Fair line: 4.46
🔴 FK Kukesi – Winning probability: 58.18% | Fair line: 1.72
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 KF Erzeni
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for KF Erzeni x FK Kukesi right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1277138 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for KF Erzeni x FK Kukesi

Is it worth betting on KF Erzeni?

🔵 KF Erzeni: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.39% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 190 times – profiting $342.00;
And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$468.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $605.00
And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on FK Kukesi?

🔴 FK Kukesi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $609.00
And would lose other 420 times – losing -$420.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$189.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match KF Erzeni x FK Kukesi

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 KF Erzeni
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KF Erzeni x FK Kukesi

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 KF Erzeni, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 KF Erzeni.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 FK Kukesi.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KF Erzeni x FK Kukesi

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.