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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» KF Tirana x Skenderbeu Betting tips for September 29 in Albania Championship
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 14h00 Albania Championship
KF Tirana KF Tirana
PREDICTION No tip
Skenderbeu Skenderbeu
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KF Tirana x Skenderbeu Betting tips for September 29 in Albania Championship

Our betting tip for KF Tirana x Skenderbeu, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
14:00
KF Tirana KF Tirana
1.91
X
3.40
Skenderbeu Skenderbeu
3.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for KF Tirana x Skenderbeu:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for KF Tirana x Skenderbeu

Some important points for the tip for KF Tirana x Skenderbeu:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on KF Tirana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Skenderbeu, KF Tirana scored at least 3 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 KF Tirana matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between KF Tirana x Skenderbeu, with KF Tirana as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, KF Tirana conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Skenderbeu conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, KF Tirana conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Skenderbeu.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Skenderbeu as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from KF Tirana x Skenderbeu for the Albania Championship – 29 of September

🏟️ KF Tirana X Skenderbeu – Albania Championship
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ KF Tirana – Winning probability: 53.09% | Fair line: 1.88
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.27% | Fair line: 3.67
πŸ”΄ Skenderbeu – Winning probability: 19.64% | Fair line: 5.09
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 KF Tirana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on KF Tirana x Skenderbeu is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for KF Tirana x Skenderbeu

Is it a good idea to bet on KF Tirana?

πŸ”΅ KF Tirana: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $482.30;
  • And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$12.30. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $648.00
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$82.00.

Is betting on Skenderbeu worth it?

πŸ”΄ Skenderbeu: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $500.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$300.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match KF Tirana x Skenderbeu

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 KF Tirana
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KF Tirana x Skenderbeu

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 KF Tirana, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 KF Tirana.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Skenderbeu.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KF Tirana x Skenderbeu

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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