📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Khonkaen United x Port FC
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Analysis from Khonkaen United x Port FC for the Thailand Premier League – 15 of January
🏟️ Khonkaen United X Port FC – Thailand Premier League
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Khonkaen United x Port FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 287992 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Khonkaen United x Port FC
Is it a good idea to bet on Khonkaen United?
🔵 Khonkaen United: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.84. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – profiting $397.60;
- And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$462.40.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.56. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $740.95;
- And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$30.95. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is betting on Port FC worth it?
🔴 Port FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.73. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 560 times – profiting $407.12;
- And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$32.88.
Handicaps analysis for the match Khonkaen United x Port FC
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Khonkaen United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Khonkaen United x Port FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Khonkaen United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Khonkaen United.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Khonkaen United x Port FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves