| π
16/1/2022 10:00 |
 Kirsehir Belediyespor2.10 |
X 3.20 |
Pazarspor  3.12 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Kirsehir Belediyespor x Pazarspor:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Kirsehir Belediyespor x Pazarspor
π Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Kirsehir Belediyespor x Pazarspor
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Analysis from Kirsehir Belediyespor x Pazarspor for the Turkey 2 Lig Beyaz – 16 of January
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ποΈ Kirsehir Belediyespor X Pazarspor – Turkey 2 Lig Beyaz |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Kirsehir Belediyespor and Pazarspor.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 288046 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Kirsehir Belediyespor x Pazarspor
Is betting on Kirsehir Belediyespor worth it?
π΅ Kirsehir Belediyespor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $495.00;
- And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$55.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $594.00;
- And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of π°-$136.00.
Should you bet on Pazarspor?
π΄ Pazarspor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 280 times – profiting $593.32;
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of π°-$126.68.
Handicaps analysis for the match Kirsehir Belediyespor x Pazarspor
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Kirsehir Belediyespor
β½ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kirsehir Belediyespor x Pazarspor
β Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Kirsehir Belediyespor and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Kirsehir Belediyespor.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Pazarspor.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kirsehir Belediyespor x Pazarspor
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
