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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Kisvarda FC x Budapest Honved Betting tips for November 25 in Hungary NB II
Monday, 25 November 2024, 19h00 Hungary NB II
Kisvarda FC Kisvarda FC
PREDICTION No tip
Budapest Honved Budapest Honved
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Kisvarda FC x Budapest Honved Betting tips for November 25 in Hungary NB II

Our betting tip for Kisvarda FC x Budapest Honved, Monday, 25/11/2024
πŸ“… 25/11/2024
19:00
Kisvarda FC Kisvarda FC
1.53
X
4.20
Budapest Honved Budapest Honved
4.85

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Kisvarda FC x Budapest Honved:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Kisvarda FC x Budapest Honved

The main points for the tip for Kisvarda FC x Budapest Honved:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kisvarda FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $359.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Budapest Honved in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-375.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Kisvarda FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, Budapest Honved conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Kisvarda FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Budapest Honved.
πŸ‘‰ Kisvarda FC is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Kisvarda FC x Budapest Honved for the Hungary NB II – 25 of November

🏟️ Kisvarda FC X Budapest Honved – Hungary NB II
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2024 – 19:00
πŸ”΅ Kisvarda FC – Winning probability: 63.87% | Fair line: 1.57
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.03% | Fair line: 4.54
πŸ”΄ Budapest Honved – Winning probability: 14.10% | Fair line: 7.09
βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Kisvarda FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Kisvarda FC and Budapest Honved.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1227805 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Kisvarda FC x Budapest Honved

Is betting on Kisvarda FC worth it?

πŸ”΅ Kisvarda FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 63.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 640 times – having a profit of $339.20;
  • And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$20.80 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $704.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$76.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Budapest Honved?

πŸ”΄ Budapest Honved: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $539.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$321.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kisvarda FC x Budapest Honved

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Kisvarda FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kisvarda FC x Budapest Honved

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Kisvarda FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Kisvarda FC.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kisvarda FC x Budapest Honved

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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