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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Kocaelispor x Sanliurfaspor Betting tips for September 30 in Turkey 1 Lig
Monday, 30 September 2024, 14h00 Turkey 1 Lig
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor
PREDICTION Kocaelispor wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
Sanliurfaspor Sanliurfaspor
ODD: @1.55 Don't miss this prediction!

Kocaelispor x Sanliurfaspor Betting tips for September 30 in Turkey 1 Lig

Our betting tip for Kocaelispor x Sanliurfaspor, Monday, 30/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 30/9/2024
14:00
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor
1.55
X
3.75
Sanliurfaspor Sanliurfaspor
5.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Kocaelispor x Sanliurfaspor:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Kocaelispor wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kocaelispor, you can win up to $775.00!

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The main points for the tip for Kocaelispor x Sanliurfaspor:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kocaelispor in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $47.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sanliurfaspor in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Sanliurfaspor did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Kocaelispor scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Sanliurfaspor conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Sanliurfaspor as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Kocaelispor x Sanliurfaspor for the Turkey 1 Lig – 30 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Kocaelispor X Sanliurfaspor – Turkey 1 Lig
๐Ÿ“… 30 of September, 2024 – 14:00
๐Ÿ”ต Kocaelispor – Winning probability: 71.04% | Fair line: 1.41
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.38% | Fair line: 4.68
๐Ÿ”ด Sanliurfaspor – Winning probability: 7.58% | Fair line: 13.19
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Kocaelispor
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kocaelispor x Sanliurfaspor right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191189 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Kocaelispor x Sanliurfaspor

Is it a good idea to bet on Kocaelispor?

๐Ÿ”ต Kocaelispor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 71.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – profiting $390.50;
  • And would have lost other 290 times – with a loss of -$290.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$100.50.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $577.50;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$212.50.

Should you bet on Sanliurfaspor?

๐Ÿ”ด Sanliurfaspor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $320.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$600.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kocaelispor x Sanliurfaspor

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Kocaelispor
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kocaelispor x Sanliurfaspor

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Kocaelispor and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Kocaelispor. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kocaelispor x Sanliurfaspor

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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