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Home » Predictions » Others » Kochi United x Tochigi City Betting tips for April 13 in Japan J3-League
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 05h00 Japan J3-League
Kochi United Kochi United
PREDICTION Tochigi City Wins Probability 49% 1 X 2
Tochigi City Tochigi City
ODD: @2.28 Don't miss this prediction!

Kochi United x Tochigi City Betting tips for April 13 in Japan J3-League

Our betting tip for Kochi United x Tochigi City, Sunday, 13/4/2025
📅 13/4/2025
05:00
Kochi United Kochi United
2.75
X
3.30
Tochigi City Tochigi City
2.28

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Kochi United x Tochigi City:

🔮 Tochigi City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tochigi City, you can win up to $1140.00!

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The main points for the tip for Kochi United x Tochigi City:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Kochi United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tochigi City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $148.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Kochi United scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Tochigi City scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Kochi United conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Tochigi City has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Kochi United x Tochigi City for the Japan J3-League – 13 of April

🏟️ Kochi United X Tochigi City – Japan J3-League
📅 13 of April, 2025 – 05:00
🔵 Kochi United – Winning probability: 25.58% | Fair line: 3.91
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.61% | Fair line: 4.06
🔴 Tochigi City – Winning probability: 49.81% | Fair line: 2.01
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Kochi United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kochi United x Tochigi City right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1302086 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Kochi United x Tochigi City

Should you bet on Kochi United?

🔵 Kochi United: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $455.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$285.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $575.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Should you bet on Tochigi City?

🔴 Tochigi City: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $640.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$140.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kochi United x Tochigi City

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Kochi United
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kochi United x Tochigi City

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Kochi United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Kochi United.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kochi United x Tochigi City

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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