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Home » Predictions » Others » Kolkheti Poti x Dila Gori Betting tips for October 1 in Georgia Erovnuli Liga
Tuesday, 01 October 2024, 11h00 Georgia Erovnuli Liga
Kolkheti Poti Kolkheti Poti
PREDICTION Dila Gori Wins Probability 69% 1 X 2
Dila Gori Dila Gori
ODD: @1.72 Don't miss this prediction!

Kolkheti Poti x Dila Gori Betting tips for October 1 in Georgia Erovnuli Liga

Our betting tip for Kolkheti Poti x Dila Gori, Tuesday, 1/10/2024
📅 1/10/2024
11:00
Kolkheti Poti Kolkheti Poti
4.50
X
3.30
Dila Gori Dila Gori
1.72

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Kolkheti Poti x Dila Gori:

🔮 Dila Gori wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dila Gori, you can win up to $860.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Kolkheti Poti x Dila Gori:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Kolkheti Poti in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Dila Gori scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Kolkheti Poti conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Dila Gori.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Dila Gori has not lost any of them.
👉 Even as a visitor, Dila Gori won the last 3 head-to-head matches Kolkheti Poti´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Kolkheti Poti x Dila Gori for the Georgia Erovnuli Liga – 1 of October

🏟️ Kolkheti Poti X Dila Gori – Georgia Erovnuli Liga
📅 1 of October, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 Kolkheti Poti – Winning probability: 8.19% | Fair line: 12.21
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.19% | Fair line: 4.51
🔴 Dila Gori – Winning probability: 69.62% | Fair line: 1.44
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Kolkheti Poti
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Kolkheti Poti x Dila Gori is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1192611 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Kolkheti Poti x Dila Gori

Is it a good idea to bet on Kolkheti Poti?

🔵 Kolkheti Poti: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $280.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$640.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $506.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$274.00.

Is it worth betting on Dila Gori?

🔴 Dila Gori: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 69.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 700 times – profiting $504.00;
  • And would have lost other 300 times – with a loss of -$300.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$204.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kolkheti Poti x Dila Gori

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Kolkheti Poti
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kolkheti Poti x Dila Gori

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Kolkheti Poti, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Kolkheti Poti.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kolkheti Poti x Dila Gori

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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