Kolkheti Poti x Dinamo Tbilisi Betting tips for December 1 in Georgia Erovnuli Liga

Our betting tip for Kolkheti Poti x Dinamo Tbilisi, Sunday, 1/12/2024

📅 1/12/2024 09:30

Kolkheti Poti 3.60

X 3.40

Dinamo Tbilisi 1.85

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Kolkheti Poti x Dinamo Tbilisi:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Kolkheti Poti x Dinamo Tbilisi

Some important points for the tip for Kolkheti Poti x Dinamo Tbilisi: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Kolkheti Poti in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Dinamo Tbilisi in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-280.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Dinamo Tbilisi conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Kolkheti Poti conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Dinamo Tbilisi.

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Analysis from Kolkheti Poti x Dinamo Tbilisi for the Georgia Erovnuli Liga – 1 of December

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Kolkheti Poti and Dinamo Tbilisi.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Kolkheti Poti x Dinamo Tbilisi

Is it a good idea to bet on Kolkheti Poti?

🔵 Kolkheti Poti: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.69% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $676.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$64.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $624.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$116.00.

Is it worth betting on Dinamo Tbilisi?

🔴 Dinamo Tbilisi: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $408.00
• And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$112.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Kolkheti Poti x Dinamo Tbilisi

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Kolkheti Poti
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kolkheti Poti x Dinamo Tbilisi

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Kolkheti Poti and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Kolkheti Poti.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Kolkheti Poti.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kolkheti Poti x Dinamo Tbilisi

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.