Kongsvinger 2 x Lillestrøm 2 Betting tips for April 14 in Norway Division 3 Group 3
| 📅 14/4/2025 11:00 |
 Kongsvinger 22.20 |
X 3.75 |
Lillestrøm 2  2.55 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Kongsvinger 2 x Lillestrøm 2:
🔮 Kongsvinger 2 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kongsvinger 2, you can win up to $1100.00!
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The main points for the tip for Kongsvinger 2 x Lillestrøm 2: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Kongsvinger 2 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-62.0. |
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Analysis from Kongsvinger 2 x Lillestrøm 2 for the Norway Division 3 Group 3 – 14 of April
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🏟️ Kongsvinger 2 X Lillestrøm 2 – Norway Division 3 Group 3 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kongsvinger 2 x Lillestrøm 2 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1303016 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Kongsvinger 2 x Lillestrøm 2
Should you bet on Kongsvinger 2?
🔵 Kongsvinger 2: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $648.00;
- And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$188.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 150 times – profiting $412.50;
- And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$437.50.
Is betting on Lillestrøm 2 worth it?
🔴 Lillestrøm 2: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $480.50
- And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$209.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Kongsvinger 2 x Lillestrøm 2
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Kongsvinger 2
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kongsvinger 2 x Lillestrøm 2
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Kongsvinger 2 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Kongsvinger 2.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Kongsvinger 2.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kongsvinger 2 x Lillestrøm 2
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.
