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Home » Predictions » Others » KR Reykjavik x Valur Reykjavik Betting tips for April 14 in Iceland Premier League
Monday, 14 April 2025, 19h15 Iceland Premier League
KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik
PREDICTION Valur Reykjavik Wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik
ODD: @1.95 Don't miss this prediction!

KR Reykjavik x Valur Reykjavik Betting tips for April 14 in Iceland Premier League

Our betting tip for KR Reykjavik x Valur Reykjavik, Monday, 14/4/2025
📅 14/4/2025
19:15
KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik
2.98
X
4.00
Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik
1.95

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for KR Reykjavik x Valur Reykjavik:

🔮 Valur Reykjavik wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Valur Reykjavik, you can win up to $975.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for KR Reykjavik x Valur Reykjavik:

👉 If you had bet $100 on KR Reykjavik in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-15.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, KR Reykjavik scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Valur Reykjavik scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Valur Reykjavik matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between KR Reykjavik x Valur Reykjavik, with KR Reykjavik as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Valur Reykjavik conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, KR Reykjavik conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Valur Reykjavik.
👉 KR Reykjavik is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Valur Reykjavik has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from KR Reykjavik x Valur Reykjavik for the Iceland Premier League – 14 of April

🏟️ KR Reykjavik X Valur Reykjavik – Iceland Premier League
📅 14 of April, 2025 – 19:15
🔵 KR Reykjavik – Winning probability: 25.42% | Fair line: 3.93
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.67% | Fair line: 7.31
🔴 Valur Reykjavik – Winning probability: 60.91% | Fair line: 1.64
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 KR Reykjavik
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on KR Reykjavik x Valur Reykjavik is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1303016 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for KR Reykjavik x Valur Reykjavik

Is it a good idea to bet on KR Reykjavik?

🔵 KR Reykjavik: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.42% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $495.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$255.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $420.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$440.00.

Is betting on Valur Reykjavik worth it?

🔴 Valur Reykjavik: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $579.50;
  • And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$189.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match KR Reykjavik x Valur Reykjavik

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 KR Reykjavik
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KR Reykjavik x Valur Reykjavik

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 KR Reykjavik and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 KR Reykjavik.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 KR Reykjavik.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KR Reykjavik x Valur Reykjavik

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 4.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 4.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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