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Home » Predictions » Others » Krka Novo Mesto x ND Beltinci Betting tips for September 29 in Slovenia 2. SNL
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h00 Slovenia 2. SNL
Krka Novo Mesto Krka Novo Mesto
PREDICTION No tip
ND Beltinci ND Beltinci
Don't miss this prediction!

Krka Novo Mesto x ND Beltinci Betting tips for September 29 in Slovenia 2. SNL

Our betting tip for Krka Novo Mesto x ND Beltinci, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
11:00
Krka Novo Mesto Krka Novo Mesto
3.10
X
3.30
ND Beltinci ND Beltinci
2.05

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Krka Novo Mesto x ND Beltinci:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Krka Novo Mesto x ND Beltinci

Some important points for the tip for Krka Novo Mesto x ND Beltinci:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Krka Novo Mesto in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-95.0.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Krka Novo Mesto x ND Beltinci for the Slovenia 2. SNL – 29 of September

🏟️ Krka Novo Mesto X ND Beltinci – Slovenia 2. SNL
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 Krka Novo Mesto – Winning probability: 26.75% | Fair line: 3.74
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.75% | Fair line: 4.21
🔴 ND Beltinci – Winning probability: 49.50% | Fair line: 2.02
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Krka Novo Mesto
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Krka Novo Mesto and ND Beltinci.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Krka Novo Mesto x ND Beltinci

Is it worth betting on Krka Novo Mesto?

🔵 Krka Novo Mesto: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $567.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$163.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $552.00
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$208.00.

Should you bet on ND Beltinci?

🔴 ND Beltinci: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $514.50
  • And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$4.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Krka Novo Mesto x ND Beltinci

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Krka Novo Mesto
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Krka Novo Mesto x ND Beltinci

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Krka Novo Mesto, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Krka Novo Mesto.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 ND Beltinci.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Krka Novo Mesto x ND Beltinci

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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