Krylia Sovetov x Dynamo Makhachkala Betting tips for October 2 in Russia Cup

Our betting tip for Krylia Sovetov x Dynamo Makhachkala, Wednesday, 2/10/2024

📅 2/10/2024 13:00

Krylia Sovetov 2.15

X 3.23

Dynamo Makhachkala 3.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Krylia Sovetov x Dynamo Makhachkala:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Krylia Sovetov x Dynamo Makhachkala

Important information for your tip for Krylia Sovetov x Dynamo Makhachkala: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Krylia Sovetov in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-114.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Dynamo Makhachkala in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $866.0. 👉 Dynamo Makhachkala did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 4 Dynamo Makhachkala matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Dynamo Makhachkala has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Krylia Sovetov x Dynamo Makhachkala for the Russia Cup – 2 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Krylia Sovetov x Dynamo Makhachkala right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1193870 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Krylia Sovetov x Dynamo Makhachkala

Is it a good idea to bet on Krylia Sovetov?

🔵 Krylia Sovetov: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $517.50
• And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$32.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.23. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $579.80;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.20.

Is it worth betting on Dynamo Makhachkala?

🔴 Dynamo Makhachkala: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $580.00;
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$130.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Krylia Sovetov x Dynamo Makhachkala

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Krylia Sovetov
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Krylia Sovetov x Dynamo Makhachkala

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Krylia Sovetov, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Krylia Sovetov.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Krylia Sovetov.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Krylia Sovetov x Dynamo Makhachkala

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.