Krylia Sovetov x Zenit St Petersburg Betting tips for November 9 in Russia Premier League

Our betting tip for Krylia Sovetov x Zenit St Petersburg, Sunday, 9/11/2025

📅 9/11/2025 10:00

Krylia Sovetov 6.85

X 4.41

Zenit St Petersburg 1.42

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Krylia Sovetov x Zenit St Petersburg:

🔮 Zenit St Petersburg wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Zenit St Petersburg, you can win up to $710.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Krylia Sovetov x Zenit St Petersburg:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Krylia Sovetov in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-278.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Zenit St Petersburg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $134.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Krylia Sovetov scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Zenit St Petersburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Krylia Sovetov conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Krylia Sovetov conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Zenit St Petersburg.
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Zenit St Petersburg has not lost any of them.

🤖 What does ChatGPT say about our prediction for Krylia Sovetov vs Zenit St Petersburg?

Lets analyze the match between Krylia Sovetov and Zenit Saint Petersburg at Samara Arena, which is Krylia Sovetovs usual stadium, thus ensuring the home advantage for them. 🏟️

📈 Looking at recent stats, Krylia Sovetov has been quite vulnerable defensively at home (average of 2.6 goals conceded in the last 5 home games) and has scored a similar average of 2.8 goals. Zenit, on the other hand, shows a very solid away performance with only 0.2 goals conceded per game and a reasonable offensive average (1 goal per game). Additionally, Zenits ball possession is high (60%), indicating control of the game.

The median odds indicate a clear favoritism for Zenit with very low odds for their win (~1.44), while Krylias win is around 6.85 and a draw at 4.41.

Calculating the implied probabilities from the median odds gives us:

• Krylia Sovetov: ~14.6%
• Draw: ~22.7%
• Zenit Win: ~69.4%

Adjusting for the bookmakers margin and crossing with statistical data — especially considering Krylias defensive fragility against Zenits offensive strength and control — my fair estimate would be roughly:

• Krylia Sovetov win: 15%
• Draw: 20%
• Zenit Win: 65%

Therefore, fair odds would be approximately:

• Krylia Sovetov: ~6.67
• Draw: ~5
• Zenit Saint Petersburg: ~1.54

Analyzing the final market odds (7.9 for Krylia, 4.83 for draw, and 1.465 for Zenit), we see value in betting on the home team because the final odds are higher than my estimated fair odds (~7 vs ~6.67), but this difference does not generate a significant positive expected value given the low estimated chance of their victory.

The betting model from Bets Kenya indicates strong favoritism for the visitor with a positive expected value only in this option (+29%), dismissing bets on the home team or draw due to negative expected values.

However, considering that the home team is playing at their usual stadium Samara Arena — where they usually have good local support — along with recent news showing clear difficulties but also urgent need for points to avoid relegation 📰 (Krylia is performing poorly this season but needs to react urgently), I see some residual interesting chance in a more conservative bet like “draw or away win” instead of just the visitors straight win.

Final suggestion:

• Bet on the direct win of Zenit seems to be the safest choice based on statistical analysis + news + fair odds;
• However, watch the odds because despite the good chances of them winning, there is no significant value in the current odds;
• Betting on the home team or draw does not present enough expected value (>5%) according to my calculations;

So, are we going to trust the strong away leader? ⚽💰 #ValueBet #RussiaPremierLeague #ZenitKryliaSovetov

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Krylia Sovetov x Zenit St Petersburg?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Krylia Sovetov x Zenit St Petersburg, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Krylia Sovetov x Zenit St Petersburg for the Russia Premier League – 9 of November

When the best bet on Krylia Sovetov x Zenit St Petersburg is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1434498 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Latest news about Krylia Sovetov x Zenit St Petersburg

Krylia Sovetov Samara: Krylia Sovetov Samara is going through a tough time in the Russian Premier League, having recently lost points in a 3-2 defeat to Dynamo Moscow, a 3-3 draw with FC Sochi, and a 1-0 loss to CSKA Moscow, along with a 2-0 defeat to Rubin Kazan; with the season entering its final stretch, they face a crucial away match against league leaders Zenit Saint Petersburg on November 9, 2025 at 10:00 UTC, while a Russian Cup match against KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny is scheduled for November 25, making the upcoming weeks decisive in their fight to avoid relegation.

Zenit Saint Petersburg: Zenit Saint Petersburg is ready to host Lokomotiv Moscow in a Russian Premier League match on November 1, 2025 at Gazprom Arena, while the clubs womens team advanced to the Russian Cup final after a dramatic 4-3 victory over Lokomotiv on September 13, 2025; additionally, the youth team will face Krylia Sovetov Youth on October 31, 2025 in the M-League, and striker Andrei Mostovoy, who recently survived a kidnapping attempt in Saint Petersburg, has returned to training with the main team after the incident.

Table analysis for the game between Krylia Sovetov and Zenit St Petersburg

Krylia Sovetov: They are in 13th place, fighting to move away from the relegation playoff zone, with 13 points. The match is very important for them, as a victory could help them distance from threatened teams and gain more confidence in the competition. The team still has a lot at stake to try to secure their stay in the Premier League.

Zenit St Petersburg: Zenit is in 3rd place with 29 points, competing for a direct spot in international competitions and still with chances to reach the top positions. This match is important to keep pressure on the teams above in the table and secure a place among the leaders. Therefore, the game could determine important positions for the team in the final stretch of the championship.

Summary: The game is important for both teams, but for different reasons: Krylia Sovetov fighting to avoid relegation and Zenit to strengthen their position in the race for international competitions. ⚽🔥

Tips for the Match Odds market for Krylia Sovetov x Zenit St Petersburg

Is betting on Krylia Sovetov worth it?

🔵 Krylia Sovetov: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 2.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $117.00;
• And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$863.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.41. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 80 times – profiting $272.80;
• And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$647.20.

Is betting on Zenit St Petersburg worth it?

🔴 Zenit St Petersburg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 89.98%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 900 times – having a profit of $378.00;
• And would have lost other 100 times – with a loss of -$100.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$278.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Krylia Sovetov x Zenit St Petersburg

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Krylia Sovetov
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Krylia Sovetov x Zenit St Petersburg

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Krylia Sovetov, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Krylia Sovetov. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Krylia Sovetov x Zenit St Petersburg

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.