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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» KSK Heist x Cercle Brugge Reserves Betting tips for January 11 in Belgium First Amateur Division
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 19h00 Belgium First Amateur Division
KSK Heist KSK Heist
PREDICTION No tip
Cercle Brugge Reserves Cercle Brugge Reserves
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KSK Heist x Cercle Brugge Reserves Betting tips for January 11 in Belgium First Amateur Division

Our betting tip for KSK Heist x Cercle Brugge Reserves, Saturday, 11/1/2025
πŸ“… 11/1/2025
19:00
KSK Heist KSK Heist
3.40
X
3.60
Cercle Brugge Reserves Cercle Brugge Reserves
1.86

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for KSK Heist x Cercle Brugge Reserves:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for KSK Heist x Cercle Brugge Reserves

Some important points for the tip for KSK Heist x Cercle Brugge Reserves:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on KSK Heist in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cercle Brugge Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $400.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, KSK Heist scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Cercle Brugge Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, KSK Heist conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from KSK Heist x Cercle Brugge Reserves for the Belgium First Amateur Division – 11 of January

🏟️ KSK Heist X Cercle Brugge Reserves – Belgium First Amateur Division
πŸ“… 11 of January, 2025 – 19:00
πŸ”΅ KSK Heist – Winning probability: 29.54% | Fair line: 3.38
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.51% | Fair line: 4.44
πŸ”΄ Cercle Brugge Reserves – Winning probability: 47.95% | Fair line: 2.09
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 KSK Heist
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for KSK Heist x Cercle Brugge Reserves right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244516 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for KSK Heist x Cercle Brugge Reserves

Is it a good idea to bet on KSK Heist?

πŸ”΅ KSK Heist: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $720.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$20.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $598.00
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$172.00.

Is it worth betting on Cercle Brugge Reserves?

πŸ”΄ Cercle Brugge Reserves: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.95% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.86. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – profiting $412.80;
  • And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$107.20 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match KSK Heist x Cercle Brugge Reserves

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 KSK Heist
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KSK Heist x Cercle Brugge Reserves

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 KSK Heist, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 KSK Heist.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Cercle Brugge Reserves.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KSK Heist x Cercle Brugge Reserves

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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