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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» KSS Kotwica Kornik x Notec Czarnkow Betting tips for September 29 in Poland III Liga
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 10h00 Poland III Liga
KSS Kotwica Kornik KSS Kotwica Kornik
PREDICTION No tip
Notec Czarnkow Notec Czarnkow
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KSS Kotwica Kornik x Notec Czarnkow Betting tips for September 29 in Poland III Liga

Our betting tip for KSS Kotwica Kornik x Notec Czarnkow, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
10:00
KSS Kotwica Kornik KSS Kotwica Kornik
2.60
X
3.42
Notec Czarnkow Notec Czarnkow
2.25

Our algorithm has selected this tip for KSS Kotwica Kornik x Notec Czarnkow:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for KSS Kotwica Kornik x Notec Czarnkow

Some important points for the tip for KSS Kotwica Kornik x Notec Czarnkow:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on KSS Kotwica Kornik in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Notec Czarnkow in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $53.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, KSS Kotwica Kornik scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Notec Czarnkow scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Notec Czarnkow conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on KSS Kotwica Kornik x Notec Czarnkow?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on KSS Kotwica Kornik x Notec Czarnkow:

Analysis from KSS Kotwica Kornik x Notec Czarnkow for the Poland III Liga – 29 of September

🏟️ KSS Kotwica Kornik X Notec Czarnkow – Poland III Liga
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 10:00
πŸ”΅ KSS Kotwica Kornik – Winning probability: 30.87% | Fair line: 3.24
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.10% | Fair line: 3.83
πŸ”΄ Notec Czarnkow – Winning probability: 43.03% | Fair line: 2.32
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 KSS Kotwica Kornik
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between KSS Kotwica Kornik and Notec Czarnkow.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for KSS Kotwica Kornik x Notec Czarnkow

Is betting on KSS Kotwica Kornik worth it?

πŸ”΅ KSS Kotwica Kornik: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $496.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$194.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.42. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $629.20
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$110.80.

Should you bet on Notec Czarnkow?

πŸ”΄ Notec Czarnkow: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 43.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $537.50
  • And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$32.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match KSS Kotwica Kornik x Notec Czarnkow

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 KSS Kotwica Kornik
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KSS Kotwica Kornik x Notec Czarnkow

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 KSS Kotwica Kornik and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 KSS Kotwica Kornik.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Notec Czarnkow.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KSS Kotwica Kornik x Notec Czarnkow

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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