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Home » Predictions » Others » KVK Ninove x KVV Thes Sport Betting tips for January 11 in Belgium First Amateur Division
Saturday, 11 January 2025, 19h00 Belgium First Amateur Division
KVK Ninove KVK Ninove
PREDICTION No tip
KVV Thes Sport KVV Thes Sport
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KVK Ninove x KVV Thes Sport Betting tips for January 11 in Belgium First Amateur Division

Our betting tip for KVK Ninove x KVV Thes Sport, Saturday, 11/1/2025
📅 11/1/2025
19:00
KVK Ninove KVK Ninove
2.21
X
3.22
KVV Thes Sport KVV Thes Sport
2.88

Our algorithm has selected this tip for KVK Ninove x KVV Thes Sport:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for KVK Ninove x KVV Thes Sport

The main points for the tip for KVK Ninove x KVV Thes Sport:

👉 If you had bet $100 on KVV Thes Sport in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1.0.
👉 In the last 3 KVK Ninove matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 KVV Thes Sport matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from KVK Ninove x KVV Thes Sport for the Belgium First Amateur Division – 11 of January

🏟️ KVK Ninove X KVV Thes Sport – Belgium First Amateur Division
📅 11 of January, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 KVK Ninove – Winning probability: 46.30% | Fair line: 2.16
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.18% | Fair line: 3.82
🔴 KVV Thes Sport – Winning probability: 27.51% | Fair line: 3.63
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 KVK Ninove
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for KVK Ninove x KVV Thes Sport right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244516 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for KVK Ninove x KVV Thes Sport

Should you bet on KVK Ninove?

🔵 KVK Ninove: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.21. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $556.60;
  • And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$16.60, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $577.20;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$162.80.

Is betting on KVV Thes Sport worth it?

🔴 KVV Thes Sport: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $526.40
  • And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$193.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match KVK Ninove x KVV Thes Sport

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 KVK Ninove
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KVK Ninove x KVV Thes Sport

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 KVK Ninove and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 KVK Ninove.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 KVK Ninove.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KVK Ninove x KVV Thes Sport

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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