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Home » Predictions » Others » La Equidad x Atletico Nacional Medellin Betting tips for February 2 in Colombia Primera A
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 19h00 Colombia Primera A
La Equidad La Equidad
PREDICTION No tip
Atletico Nacional Medellin Atletico Nacional Medellin
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La Equidad x Atletico Nacional Medellin Betting tips for February 2 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for La Equidad x Atletico Nacional Medellin, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
19:00
La Equidad La Equidad
3.80
X
3.00
Atletico Nacional Medellin Atletico Nacional Medellin
2.02

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for La Equidad x Atletico Nacional Medellin:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for La Equidad x Atletico Nacional Medellin

The main points for the tip for La Equidad x Atletico Nacional Medellin:

👉 If you had bet $100 on La Equidad in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-65.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Nacional Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $68.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, La Equidad scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Atletico Nacional Medellin scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between La Equidad x Atletico Nacional Medellin, with La Equidad as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 La Equidad matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, La Equidad conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 La Equidad has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Atletico Nacional Medellin playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on La Equidad x Atletico Nacional Medellin?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on La Equidad x Atletico Nacional Medellin, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from La Equidad x Atletico Nacional Medellin for the Colombia Primera A – 2 of February

🏟️ La Equidad X Atletico Nacional Medellin – Colombia Primera A
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 19:00
🔵 La Equidad – Winning probability: 28.67% | Fair line: 3.49
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.92% | Fair line: 3.13
🔴 Atletico Nacional Medellin – Winning probability: 39.41% | Fair line: 2.54
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 La Equidad
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on La Equidad x Atletico Nacional Medellin is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1255121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for La Equidad x Atletico Nacional Medellin

Is it worth betting on La Equidad?

🔵 La Equidad: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $812.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$102.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $640.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is it worth betting on Atletico Nacional Medellin?

🔴 Atletico Nacional Medellin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $397.80;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$212.20, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match La Equidad x Atletico Nacional Medellin

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 La Equidad
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for La Equidad x Atletico Nacional Medellin

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 La Equidad and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 La Equidad.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Atletico Nacional Medellin.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for La Equidad x Atletico Nacional Medellin

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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