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Home » Predictions » La Luz Reserves x Liverpool Montevideo Reserves Betting tips for April 14 in Uruguay Reserve League
Monday, 14 April 2025, 14h15 Uruguay Reserve League
La Luz Reserves La Luz Reserves
PREDICTION La Luz Reserves wins Probability 24% 1 X 2
Liverpool Montevideo Reserves Liverpool Montevideo Reserves
ODD: @4.42 Don't miss this prediction!

La Luz Reserves x Liverpool Montevideo Reserves Betting tips for April 14 in Uruguay Reserve League

Our betting tip for La Luz Reserves x Liverpool Montevideo Reserves, Monday, 14/4/2025
📅 14/4/2025
14:15
La Luz Reserves La Luz Reserves
4.42
X
3.30
Liverpool Montevideo Reserves Liverpool Montevideo Reserves
1.73

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for La Luz Reserves x Liverpool Montevideo Reserves:

🔮 La Luz Reserves wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on La Luz Reserves, you can win up to $2210.00!

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The main points for the tip for La Luz Reserves x Liverpool Montevideo Reserves:

👉 If you had bet $100 on La Luz Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Liverpool Montevideo Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $685.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Liverpool Montevideo Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, La Luz Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Liverpool Montevideo Reserves is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 4 wins in a row in its last road matches.
👉 It is not a good time for La Luz Reserves as home team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from La Luz Reserves x Liverpool Montevideo Reserves for the Uruguay Reserve League – 14 of April

🏟️ La Luz Reserves X Liverpool Montevideo Reserves – Uruguay Reserve League
📅 14 of April, 2025 – 14:15
🔵 La Luz Reserves – Winning probability: 24.31% | Fair line: 4.11
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.03% | Fair line: 5.25
🔴 Liverpool Montevideo Reserves – Winning probability: 56.66% | Fair line: 1.77
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 La Luz Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on La Luz Reserves x Liverpool Montevideo Reserves is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1303016 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for La Luz Reserves x Liverpool Montevideo Reserves

Is betting on La Luz Reserves worth it?

🔵 La Luz Reserves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $820.80
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$60.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $437.00
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$373.00.

Is it worth betting on Liverpool Montevideo Reserves?

🔴 Liverpool Montevideo Reserves: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.73. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – profiting $416.10;
  • And would lose other 430 times – having a loss of -$430.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$13.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match La Luz Reserves x Liverpool Montevideo Reserves

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 La Luz Reserves
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for La Luz Reserves x Liverpool Montevideo Reserves

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 La Luz Reserves and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 La Luz Reserves.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 La Luz Reserves.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for La Luz Reserves x Liverpool Montevideo Reserves

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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