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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป La Luz x Tacuarembo Betting tips for September 29 in Uruguay Segunda
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 10h00 Uruguay Segunda
La Luz La Luz
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 37% 1 X 2
Tacuarembo Tacuarembo
ODD: @2.8 Don't miss this prediction!

La Luz x Tacuarembo Betting tips for September 29 in Uruguay Segunda

Our betting tip for La Luz x Tacuarembo, Sunday, 29/9/2024
๐Ÿ“… 29/9/2024
10:00
La Luz La Luz
2.38
X
2.80
Tacuarembo Tacuarembo
3.08

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for La Luz x Tacuarembo:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1400.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for La Luz x Tacuarembo:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on La Luz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tacuarembo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Tacuarembo did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Tacuarembo matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, La Luz conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Tacuarembo conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Tacuarembo as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from La Luz x Tacuarembo for the Uruguay Segunda – 29 of September

๐ŸŸ๏ธ La Luz X Tacuarembo – Uruguay Segunda
๐Ÿ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 10:00
๐Ÿ”ต La Luz – Winning probability: 33.86% | Fair line: 2.95
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 37.29% | Fair line: 2.68
๐Ÿ”ด Tacuarembo – Winning probability: 28.85% | Fair line: 3.47
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 La Luz
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for La Luz x Tacuarembo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for La Luz x Tacuarembo

Should you bet on La Luz?

๐Ÿ”ต La Luz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $469.20;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$190.80.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 370 times – profiting $666.00;
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$36.00.

Is betting on Tacuarembo worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Tacuarembo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $603.20;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$106.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match La Luz x Tacuarembo

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 La Luz
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for La Luz x Tacuarembo

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 La Luz, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 La Luz.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for La Luz x Tacuarembo

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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