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Home » Predictions » Others » La Union CF x Villanovense Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 10h30 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
La Union CF La Union CF
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 38% 1 X 2
Villanovense Villanovense
ODD: @3.1 Don't miss this prediction!

La Union CF x Villanovense Betting tips for January 12 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4

Our betting tip for La Union CF x Villanovense, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
10:30
La Union CF La Union CF
1.74
X
3.10
Villanovense Villanovense
4.70

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for La Union CF x Villanovense:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for La Union CF x Villanovense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on La Union CF in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $306.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Villanovense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 La Union CF matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Villanovense conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from La Union CF x Villanovense for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 – 12 of January

🏟️ La Union CF X Villanovense – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 10:30
🔵 La Union CF – Winning probability: 44.24% | Fair line: 2.26
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 38.99% | Fair line: 2.56
🔴 Villanovense – Winning probability: 16.77% | Fair line: 5.96
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 La Union CF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between La Union CF and Villanovense.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1244844 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for La Union CF x Villanovense

Is it worth betting on La Union CF?

🔵 La Union CF: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.74. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 440 times – profiting $325.60;
  • And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$234.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 38.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $819.00
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$209.00.

Is it worth betting on Villanovense?

🔴 Villanovense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $629.00
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$201.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match La Union CF x Villanovense

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 La Union CF
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for La Union CF x Villanovense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 La Union CF and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 La Union CF.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for La Union CF x Villanovense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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