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Home » Predictions » Others » Lagarto x Uniao Araguainense Betting tips for April 19 in Brazil Serie D
Saturday, 19 April 2025, 18h00 Brazil Serie D
Lagarto Lagarto
PREDICTION Lagarto wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Uniao Araguainense Uniao Araguainense
ODD: @2.26 Don't miss this prediction!

Lagarto x Uniao Araguainense Betting tips for April 19 in Brazil Serie D

Our betting tip for Lagarto x Uniao Araguainense, Saturday, 19/4/2025
📅 19/4/2025
18:00
Lagarto Lagarto
2.26
X
3.10
Uniao Araguainense Uniao Araguainense
3.02

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lagarto x Uniao Araguainense:

🔮 Lagarto wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lagarto, you can win up to $1130.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Lagarto x Uniao Araguainense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lagarto in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-232.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Uniao Araguainense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lagarto x Uniao Araguainense?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lagarto x Uniao Araguainense, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Lagarto x Uniao Araguainense for the Brazil Serie D – 19 of April

🏟️ Lagarto X Uniao Araguainense – Brazil Serie D
📅 19 of April, 2025 – 18:00
🔵 Lagarto – Winning probability: 65.60% | Fair line: 1.52
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.86% | Fair line: 6.73
🔴 Uniao Araguainense – Winning probability: 19.54% | Fair line: 5.12
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lagarto
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lagarto x Uniao Araguainense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1306590 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lagarto x Uniao Araguainense

Is it a good idea to bet on Lagarto?

🔵 Lagarto: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.26. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 660 times – this would give you a profit of $831.60
  • And would lose other 340 times – having a loss of -$340.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$491.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $315.00
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$535.00.

Is betting on Uniao Araguainense worth it?

🔴 Uniao Araguainense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $404.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$396.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Lagarto x Uniao Araguainense

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lagarto
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lagarto x Uniao Araguainense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Lagarto and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Lagarto.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Lagarto.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lagarto x Uniao Araguainense

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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