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Home » Predictions » Others » Lancaster City x Leek Town Betting tips for October 1 in England Northern Premier League
Tuesday, 01 October 2024, 15h45 England Northern Premier League
Lancaster City Lancaster City
PREDICTION Lancaster City wins Probability 75% 1 X 2
Leek Town Leek Town
ODD: @1.49 Don't miss this prediction!

Lancaster City x Leek Town Betting tips for October 1 in England Northern Premier League

Our betting tip for Lancaster City x Leek Town, Tuesday, 1/10/2024
📅 1/10/2024
15:45
Lancaster City Lancaster City
1.49
X
4.20
Leek Town Leek Town
5.40

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Lancaster City x Leek Town:

🔮 Lancaster City wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lancaster City, you can win up to $745.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Lancaster City x Leek Town:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lancaster City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Leek Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Lancaster City x Leek Town?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lancaster City x Leek Town, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Lancaster City x Leek Town for the England Northern Premier League – 1 of October

🏟️ Lancaster City X Leek Town – England Northern Premier League
📅 1 of October, 2024 – 15:45
🔵 Lancaster City – Winning probability: 75.27% | Fair line: 1.33
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.27% | Fair line: 6.15
🔴 Leek Town – Winning probability: 8.46% | Fair line: 11.82
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Lancaster City
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Lancaster City x Leek Town is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1192611 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lancaster City x Leek Town

Is it worth betting on Lancaster City?

🔵 Lancaster City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 75.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.49. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 750 times – this would give you a profit of $367.50
  • And would lose other 250 times – having a loss of -$250.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$117.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $512.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$328.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Leek Town?

🔴 Leek Town: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $352.00;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$568.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Lancaster City x Leek Town

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Lancaster City
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lancaster City x Leek Town

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Lancaster City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Lancaster City.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Leek Town.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lancaster City x Leek Town

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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