Langwarrin x Mornington Betting tips for April 16 in Australia FFA Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Langwarrin x Mornington, Wednesday, 16/4/2025

📅 16/4/2025 09:30

Langwarrin 1.39

X 4.90

Mornington 5.45

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Langwarrin x Mornington:

🔮 Langwarrin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Langwarrin, you can win up to $695.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Langwarrin x Mornington: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Langwarrin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mornington in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $370.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Langwarrin scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Mornington scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 Langwarrin matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Langwarrin conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Mornington is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches. 👉 It is not a good time for Langwarrin as home team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Analysis from Langwarrin x Mornington for the Australia FFA Cup Qualifying – 16 of April

When the best bet on Langwarrin x Mornington is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1304980 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Langwarrin x Mornington

Is it a good idea to bet on Langwarrin?

🔵 Langwarrin: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 81.91% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.39. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 820 times – profiting $319.80;
• And would lose other 180 times – having a loss of -$180.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$139.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $273.00
• And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$657.00.

Is betting on Mornington worth it?

🔴 Mornington: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – profiting $489.50;
• And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$400.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Langwarrin x Mornington

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Langwarrin
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Langwarrin x Mornington

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Langwarrin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Langwarrin.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Mornington.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Langwarrin x Mornington

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.