Lanus x Gimnasia LP Betting tips for September 30 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Lanus x Gimnasia LP, Monday, 30/9/2024

📅 30/9/2024 21:15

Lanus 2.05

X 3.10

Gimnasia LP 3.85

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lanus x Gimnasia LP:

🔮 Gimnasia LP wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gimnasia LP, you can win up to $1925.00!

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Important information for your tip for Lanus x Gimnasia LP: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lanus in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gimnasia LP in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $610.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Gimnasia LP scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Gimnasia LP, Lanus scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Lanus matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Gimnasia LP matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Lanus x Gimnasia LP, with Lanus as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Gimnasia LP has not lost any of them. 👉 Lanus has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Gimnasia LP playing at home.

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Analysis from Lanus x Gimnasia LP for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 30 of September

When the best bet on Lanus x Gimnasia LP is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1192575 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lanus x Gimnasia LP

Is it a good idea to bet on Lanus?

🔵 Lanus: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – profiting $378.00;
• And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$262.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $588.00;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$132.00.

Is betting on Gimnasia LP worth it?

🔴 Gimnasia LP: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 360 times – having a profit of $1026.00;
• And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$386.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lanus x Gimnasia LP

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lanus
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lanus x Gimnasia LP

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Lanus and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Lanus.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Lanus.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lanus x Gimnasia LP

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.