Larissa x Diagoras Betting tips for September 29 in Greece Super League 2
| 📅 29/9/2024 09:00 |
 Larissa1.19 |
X 5.50 |
Diagoras  13.00 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Larissa x Diagoras:
🔮 Larissa wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Larissa, you can win up to $595.00!
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The main points for the tip for Larissa x Diagoras: 👉 Diagoras did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team. |
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Analysis from Larissa x Diagoras for the Greece Super League 2 – 29 of September
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🏟️ Larissa X Diagoras – Greece Super League 2 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Larissa x Diagoras right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Larissa x Diagoras
Is betting on Larissa worth it?
🔵 Larissa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 94.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.19. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 940 times – this would give you a profit of $178.60
- And would lose other 60 times – losing -$60.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$118.60.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $225.00;
- And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$725.00.
Should you bet on Diagoras?
🔴 Diagoras: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 13.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
- And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Larissa x Diagoras
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 Larissa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Larissa x Diagoras
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.0 Larissa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Larissa.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.75 Larissa.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Larissa x Diagoras
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
