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15/1/2022 15:00 |
 Larne FC1.12 |
X 7.45 |
Dungannon Swifts  14.50 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Larne FC x Dungannon Swifts:
๐ฎ Larne FC wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Larne FC, you can win up to $560.00!
๐ Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Larne FC x Dungannon Swifts
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Analysis from Larne FC x Dungannon Swifts for the Northern Ireland Premier – 15 of January
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๐๏ธ Larne FC X Dungannon Swifts – Northern Ireland Premier |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Larne FC and Dungannon Swifts.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 287992 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Larne FC x Dungannon Swifts
Should you bet on Larne FC?
๐ต Larne FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 98.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.12. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 990 times – having a profit of $118.80;
- And would lose other 10 times – having a loss of -$10.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$108.80.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $64.50
- And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$925.50.
Should you bet on Dungannon Swifts?
๐ด Dungannon Swifts: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 14.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 10 times – profiting $135.00;
- And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$855.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Larne FC x Dungannon Swifts
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
โ Handicap 1×2: -2.25 Larne FC
โฝ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Larne FC x Dungannon Swifts
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.25 Larne FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.25 Larne FC.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Larne FC x Dungannon Swifts
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.
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Written by
Humberto Alves
Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.
> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
