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Home » Predictions » Others » Las Palmas B x Arucas CF Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 12
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 08h00 Spain Tercera Group 12
Las Palmas B Las Palmas B
PREDICTION Las Palmas B wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
Arucas CF Arucas CF
ODD: @1.53 Don't miss this prediction!

Las Palmas B x Arucas CF Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 12

Our betting tip for Las Palmas B x Arucas CF, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
08:00
Las Palmas B Las Palmas B
1.53
X
3.60
Arucas CF Arucas CF
5.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Las Palmas B x Arucas CF:

🔮 Las Palmas B wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Las Palmas B, you can win up to $765.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Las Palmas B x Arucas CF:

👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Arucas CF, Las Palmas B scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Arucas CF matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Las Palmas B has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Arucas CF.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Las Palmas B x Arucas CF?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Las Palmas B x Arucas CF, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Las Palmas B x Arucas CF for the Spain Tercera Group 12 – 29 of September

🏟️ Las Palmas B X Arucas CF – Spain Tercera Group 12
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 08:00
🔵 Las Palmas B – Winning probability: 71.01% | Fair line: 1.41
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.61% | Fair line: 4.85
🔴 Arucas CF – Winning probability: 8.38% | Fair line: 11.93
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Las Palmas B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Las Palmas B x Arucas CF is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Las Palmas B x Arucas CF

Is it worth betting on Las Palmas B?

🔵 Las Palmas B: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 71.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.53. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $376.30
  • And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$86.30.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $546.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$244.00.

Should you bet on Arucas CF?

🔴 Arucas CF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $320.00
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$600.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Las Palmas B x Arucas CF

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Las Palmas B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Las Palmas B x Arucas CF

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Las Palmas B, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Las Palmas B.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Las Palmas B.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Las Palmas B x Arucas CF

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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