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Home » Predictions » Lavagnese x Cairese Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Lavagnese Lavagnese
PREDICTION No tip
Cairese Cairese
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Lavagnese x Cairese Betting tips for February 2 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Lavagnese x Cairese, Sunday, 2/2/2025
📅 2/2/2025
13:30
Lavagnese Lavagnese
1.80
X
3.42
Cairese Cairese
3.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lavagnese x Cairese:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Lavagnese x Cairese

The main points for the tip for Lavagnese x Cairese:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lavagnese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-94.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Cairese scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Lavagnese conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Cairese has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Lavagnese x Cairese for the Italy Serie D – 2 of February

🏟️ Lavagnese X Cairese – Italy Serie D
📅 2 of February, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Lavagnese – Winning probability: 56.92% | Fair line: 1.76
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.76% | Fair line: 3.88
🔴 Cairese – Winning probability: 17.32% | Fair line: 5.78
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Lavagnese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lavagnese x Cairese right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1255121 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lavagnese x Cairese

Is betting on Lavagnese worth it?

🔵 Lavagnese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $456.00
  • And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$26.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $629.20;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$110.80.

Is betting on Cairese worth it?

🔴 Cairese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $493.00;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$337.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lavagnese x Cairese

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Lavagnese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lavagnese x Cairese

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Lavagnese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Lavagnese.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Lavagnese.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lavagnese x Cairese

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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