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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Lavagnese x Chieri 1955 Betting tips for October 2 in Italy Serie D
Wednesday, 02 October 2024, 10h00 Italy Serie D
Lavagnese Lavagnese
PREDICTION No tip
Chieri 1955 Chieri 1955
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Lavagnese x Chieri 1955 Betting tips for October 2 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Lavagnese x Chieri 1955, Wednesday, 2/10/2024
πŸ“… 2/10/2024
10:00
Lavagnese Lavagnese
1.60
X
3.55
Chieri 1955 Chieri 1955
4.77

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Lavagnese x Chieri 1955:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Lavagnese x Chieri 1955

Important information for your tip for Lavagnese x Chieri 1955:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lavagnese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $98.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Chieri 1955 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Lavagnese scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Chieri 1955 conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Lavagnese x Chieri 1955?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lavagnese x Chieri 1955, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Lavagnese x Chieri 1955 for the Italy Serie D – 2 of October

🏟️ Lavagnese X Chieri 1955 – Italy Serie D
πŸ“… 2 of October, 2024 – 10:00
πŸ”΅ Lavagnese – Winning probability: 62.56% | Fair line: 1.6
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.33% | Fair line: 3.66
πŸ”΄ Chieri 1955 – Winning probability: 10.11% | Fair line: 9.89
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lavagnese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lavagnese x Chieri 1955 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1193870 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lavagnese x Chieri 1955

Is it worth betting on Lavagnese?

πŸ”΅ Lavagnese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 62.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – profiting $378.00;
  • And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$8.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $688.50;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$41.50.

Should you bet on Chieri 1955?

πŸ”΄ Chieri 1955: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.77. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $377.00
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$523.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lavagnese x Chieri 1955

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lavagnese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lavagnese x Chieri 1955

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Lavagnese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Lavagnese.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Chieri 1955.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lavagnese x Chieri 1955

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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