Lavagnese x Derthona Betting tips for January 12 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Lavagnese x Derthona, Sunday, 12/1/2025

📅 12/1/2025 13:30

Lavagnese 1.60

X 3.60

Derthona 4.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lavagnese x Derthona:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Lavagnese x Derthona

Important information for your tip for Lavagnese x Derthona: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lavagnese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $34.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Derthona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Lavagnese scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Derthona, Lavagnese scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Lavagnese matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Derthona conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Lavagnese conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Derthona. 👉 It is not a good time for Derthona as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Lavagnese x Derthona for the Italy Serie D – 12 of January

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lavagnese and Derthona.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1244844 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lavagnese x Derthona

Is betting on Lavagnese worth it?

🔵 Lavagnese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $366.00;
• And would lose other 390 times – having a loss of -$390.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$24.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.1%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $676.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$64.00.

Is betting on Derthona worth it?

🔴 Derthona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $481.00;
• And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$389.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lavagnese x Derthona

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Lavagnese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lavagnese x Derthona

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Lavagnese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Lavagnese.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lavagnese x Derthona

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.