📊 Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Lazio x Udinese
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Analysis from Lazio x Udinese for the Coppa Italia – 18 of January
🏟️ Lazio X Udinese – Coppa Italia
When the best bet on Lazio x Udinese is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 288868 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Lazio x Udinese
Is it worth betting on Lazio?
🔵 Lazio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 670 times – profiting $381.90;
- And would have lost other 330 times – with a loss of -$330.00 because of them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$51.90 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.03. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $272.70
- And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$637.30.
Is it a good idea to bet on Udinese?
🔴 Udinese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.23. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $1015.20
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$255.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Lazio x Udinese
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Lazio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lazio x Udinese
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Lazio and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Lazio.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Udinese.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lazio x Udinese
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
Our tips are also on YouTube
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves