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Home » Predictions » Others » Leaper FC x Tsuen Wan Betting tips for March 9 in Hong Kong 2nd Division
Sunday, 09 March 2025, 09h30 Hong Kong 2nd Division
Leaper FC Leaper FC
PREDICTION Leaper FC wins Probability 53% 1 X 2
Tsuen Wan Tsuen Wan
ODD: @2 Don't miss this prediction!

Leaper FC x Tsuen Wan Betting tips for March 9 in Hong Kong 2nd Division

Our betting tip for Leaper FC x Tsuen Wan, Sunday, 9/3/2025
📅 9/3/2025
09:30
Leaper FC Leaper FC
2.00
X
4.00
Tsuen Wan Tsuen Wan
2.75

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Leaper FC x Tsuen Wan:

🔮 Leaper FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Leaper FC, you can win up to $1000.00!

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The main points for the tip for Leaper FC x Tsuen Wan:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Leaper FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-355.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Tsuen Wan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Leaper FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Leaper FC x Tsuen Wan for the Hong Kong 2nd Division – 9 of March

🏟️ Leaper FC X Tsuen Wan – Hong Kong 2nd Division
📅 9 of March, 2025 – 09:30
🔵 Leaper FC – Winning probability: 53.59% | Fair line: 1.87
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.18% | Fair line: 4.72
🔴 Tsuen Wan – Winning probability: 25.23% | Fair line: 3.96
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Leaper FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Leaper FC x Tsuen Wan is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1277099 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Leaper FC x Tsuen Wan

Is betting on Leaper FC worth it?

🔵 Leaper FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
  • And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$80.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $630.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$160.00.

Is it worth betting on Tsuen Wan?

🔴 Tsuen Wan: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $437.50;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$312.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Leaper FC x Tsuen Wan

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Leaper FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leaper FC x Tsuen Wan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Leaper FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Leaper FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Leaper FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leaper FC x Tsuen Wan

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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