Leca x AD Marco 09 Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Leca x AD Marco 09, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 11:00

Leca 2.50

X 3.20

AD Marco 09 2.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Leca x AD Marco 09:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Leca x AD Marco 09

Some important points for the tip for Leca x AD Marco 09: 👉 If you had bet $100 on AD Marco 09 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $145.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Leca scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, AD Marco 09 scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Leca matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 AD Marco 09 matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Leca caused at least one sending-off in its last 4 matches as the home team. 👉 In the last 7 road matches, AD Marco 09 has not lost any of them.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Leca x AD Marco 09?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Leca x AD Marco 09:

Analysis from Leca x AD Marco 09 for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Leca and AD Marco 09.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Leca x AD Marco 09

Should you bet on Leca?

🔵 Leca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
• And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$125.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $704.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$24.00.

Is it worth betting on AD Marco 09?

🔴 AD Marco 09: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$175.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Leca x AD Marco 09

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Leca
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leca x AD Marco 09

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Leca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Leca.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Leca.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leca x AD Marco 09

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.