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Home » Predictions » Others » Leca x Beira Mar Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Sunday, 12 January 2025, 15h00 Portugal Campeonato Nacional
Leca Leca
PREDICTION Leca wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
Beira Mar Beira Mar
ODD: @1.67 Don't miss this prediction!

Leca x Beira Mar Betting tips for January 12 in Portugal Campeonato Nacional

Our betting tip for Leca x Beira Mar, Sunday, 12/1/2025
📅 12/1/2025
15:00
Leca Leca
1.67
X
3.40
Beira Mar Beira Mar
4.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Leca x Beira Mar:

🔮 Leca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Leca, you can win up to $835.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Leca x Beira Mar:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Leca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-209.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Beira Mar in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-285.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Beira Mar scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Leca conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 Leca is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 3 home matches, it had at least 61.00% of possession.

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Summary

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Analysis from Leca x Beira Mar for the Portugal Campeonato Nacional – 12 of January

🏟️ Leca X Beira Mar – Portugal Campeonato Nacional
📅 12 of January, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 Leca – Winning probability: 66.15% | Fair line: 1.51
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.51% | Fair line: 4.08
🔴 Beira Mar – Winning probability: 9.35% | Fair line: 10.7
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Leca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Leca x Beira Mar right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1244844 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Leca x Beira Mar

Is it worth betting on Leca?

🔵 Leca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 66.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.67. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 660 times – this would give you a profit of $442.20
  • And would lose other 340 times – having a loss of -$340.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$102.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $600.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$150.00.

Is betting on Beira Mar worth it?

🔴 Beira Mar: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $324.00
  • And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$586.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Leca x Beira Mar

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Leca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leca x Beira Mar

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Leca, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Leca.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Leca.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leca x Beira Mar

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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