Lechia Gdansk x Korona Kielce Betting tips for May 11 in Poland Ekstraklasa

Our betting tip for Lechia Gdansk x Korona Kielce, Sunday, 11/5/2025

📅 11/5/2025 10:15

Lechia Gdansk 2.00

X 3.40

Korona Kielce 3.46

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Lechia Gdansk x Korona Kielce:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Lechia Gdansk x Korona Kielce

Some important points for the tip for Lechia Gdansk x Korona Kielce: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lechia Gdansk in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $260.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Korona Kielce in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-150.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Lechia Gdansk scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 Korona Kielce matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdansk x Korona Kielce, with Lechia Gdansk as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Korona Kielce conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Lechia Gdansk is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Lechia Gdansk x Korona Kielce for the Poland Ekstraklasa – 11 of May

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lechia Gdansk x Korona Kielce right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1322631 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lechia Gdansk x Korona Kielce

Is betting on Lechia Gdansk worth it?

🔵 Lechia Gdansk: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 500 times – profiting $500.00;
• And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$0.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $576.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$184.00.

Is betting on Korona Kielce worth it?

🔴 Korona Kielce: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.46. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $639.60
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$100.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lechia Gdansk x Korona Kielce

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lechia Gdansk
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lechia Gdansk x Korona Kielce

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Lechia Gdansk, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Lechia Gdansk.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lechia Gdansk x Korona Kielce

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.