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Home » Predictions » Others » Lechia Gdansk x Stal Mielec Betting tips for April 14 in Poland Ekstraklasa
Monday, 14 April 2025, 17h00 Poland Ekstraklasa
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk
PREDICTION Lechia Gdansk wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec
ODD: @2.22 Don't miss this prediction!

Lechia Gdansk x Stal Mielec Betting tips for April 14 in Poland Ekstraklasa

Our betting tip for Lechia Gdansk x Stal Mielec, Monday, 14/4/2025
📅 14/4/2025
17:00
Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk
2.22
X
3.30
Stal Mielec Stal Mielec
3.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lechia Gdansk x Stal Mielec:

🔮 Lechia Gdansk wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lechia Gdansk, you can win up to $1110.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Lechia Gdansk x Stal Mielec:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Stal Mielec in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Stal Mielec scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Stal Mielec, Lechia Gdansk scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Stal Mielec matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Stal Mielec conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Lechia Gdansk has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Stal Mielec.

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Summary

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Analysis from Lechia Gdansk x Stal Mielec for the Poland Ekstraklasa – 14 of April

🏟️ Lechia Gdansk X Stal Mielec – Poland Ekstraklasa
📅 14 of April, 2025 – 17:00
🔵 Lechia Gdansk – Winning probability: 50.43% | Fair line: 1.98
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.12% | Fair line: 4.52
🔴 Stal Mielec – Winning probability: 27.45% | Fair line: 3.64
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lechia Gdansk
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lechia Gdansk x Stal Mielec right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1303016 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lechia Gdansk x Stal Mielec

Is betting on Lechia Gdansk worth it?

🔵 Lechia Gdansk: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.43%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $610.00;
  • And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$110.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $506.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$274.00.

Is it worth betting on Stal Mielec?

🔴 Stal Mielec: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $540.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$190.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lechia Gdansk x Stal Mielec

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lechia Gdansk
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lechia Gdansk x Stal Mielec

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Lechia Gdansk, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Lechia Gdansk.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Lechia Gdansk.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lechia Gdansk x Stal Mielec

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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