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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Leganes B x Alcorcon B Betting tips for April 13 in Spain Tercera Group 7
Sunday, 13 April 2025, 15h00 Spain Tercera Group 7
Leganes B Leganes B
PREDICTION No tip
Alcorcon B Alcorcon B
Don't miss this prediction!

Leganes B x Alcorcon B Betting tips for April 13 in Spain Tercera Group 7

Our betting tip for Leganes B x Alcorcon B, Sunday, 13/4/2025
πŸ“… 13/4/2025
15:00
Leganes B Leganes B
1.90
X
3.25
Alcorcon B Alcorcon B
3.64

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Leganes B x Alcorcon B:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Leganes B x Alcorcon B

Important information for your tip for Leganes B x Alcorcon B:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Leganes B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Alcorcon B in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Alcorcon B, Leganes B scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Leganes B has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Alcorcon B playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Leganes B x Alcorcon B for the Spain Tercera Group 7 – 13 of April

🏟️ Leganes B X Alcorcon B – Spain Tercera Group 7
πŸ“… 13 of April, 2025 – 15:00
πŸ”΅ Leganes B – Winning probability: 53.60% | Fair line: 1.87
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.56% | Fair line: 3.38
πŸ”΄ Alcorcon B – Winning probability: 16.84% | Fair line: 5.94
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Leganes B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Leganes B x Alcorcon B is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1302187 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Leganes B x Alcorcon B

Is it a good idea to bet on Leganes B?

πŸ”΅ Leganes B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 53.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $486.00
  • And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$26.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $675.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$25.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Alcorcon B?

πŸ”΄ Alcorcon B: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $448.80
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$381.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Leganes B x Alcorcon B

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Leganes B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leganes B x Alcorcon B

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Leganes B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Leganes B.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leganes B x Alcorcon B

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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