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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Leganes x Barcelona Betting tips for April 12 in Spain La Liga
Saturday, 12 April 2025, 19h00 Spain La Liga
Leganes Leganes
PREDICTION Barcelona Wins Probability 90% 1 X 2
Barcelona Barcelona
ODD: @1.32 Don't miss this prediction!

Leganes x Barcelona Betting tips for April 12 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Leganes x Barcelona, Saturday, 12/4/2025
๐Ÿ“… 12/4/2025
19:00
Leganes Leganes
8.00
X
5.70
Barcelona Barcelona
1.32

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Leganes x Barcelona:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Barcelona wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barcelona, you can win up to $660.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Leganes x Barcelona:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Leganes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-210.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Barcelona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $252.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Leganes scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Leganes x Barcelona, with Leganes as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Leganes conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Barcelona.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Leganes x Barcelona?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Leganes x Barcelona for the Spain La Liga – 12 of April

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Leganes X Barcelona – Spain La Liga
๐Ÿ“… 12 of April, 2025 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต Leganes – Winning probability: 5.00% | Fair line: 20.02
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.16% | Fair line: 24.06
๐Ÿ”ด Barcelona – Winning probability: 90.85% | Fair line: 1.1
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.75 Leganes
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Leganes x Barcelona right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1301554 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Leganes x Barcelona

Is betting on Leganes worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Leganes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – profiting $350.00;
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$600.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $188.00
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$772.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Barcelona?

๐Ÿ”ด Barcelona: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 90.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 910 times – profiting $291.20;
  • And would have lost other 90 times – with a loss of -$90.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$201.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Leganes x Barcelona

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.75 Leganes
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Leganes x Barcelona

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.75 Leganes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.5 Leganes.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Barcelona.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Leganes x Barcelona

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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