📊 You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Legia Warsaw x Krasnodar
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Analysis from Legia Warsaw x Krasnodar for the Europe Friendlies – 19 of January
🏟️ Legia Warsaw X Krasnodar – Europe Friendlies
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Legia Warsaw and Krasnodar.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 289741 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Legia Warsaw x Krasnodar
Is it worth betting on Legia Warsaw?
🔵 Legia Warsaw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.53% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.49. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 510 times – profiting $1269.90;
- And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$779.90.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.13. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $125.40;
- And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$834.60.
Should you bet on Krasnodar?
🔴 Krasnodar: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $345.00
- And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$195.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Legia Warsaw x Krasnodar
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Legia Warsaw
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Legia Warsaw x Krasnodar
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Legia Warsaw and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Legia Warsaw.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Legia Warsaw.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Legia Warsaw x Krasnodar
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
You can check out our tips on YouTube
Our tipsters are also on our betting tips channel on YouTube analysing the main bets for Wednesday. Right above you can check our latest predictions and do not forget to subscribe to our channel!
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Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.> Check other content created by Humberto Alves