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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Legnago Salus x Asd Pineto Calcio Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie C Group B
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 09h00 Italy Serie C Group B
Legnago Salus Legnago Salus
PREDICTION No tip
Asd Pineto Calcio Asd Pineto Calcio
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Legnago Salus x Asd Pineto Calcio Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie C Group B

Our betting tip for Legnago Salus x Asd Pineto Calcio, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
09:00
Legnago Salus Legnago Salus
3.56
X
3.42
Asd Pineto Calcio Asd Pineto Calcio
1.88

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Legnago Salus x Asd Pineto Calcio:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Legnago Salus x Asd Pineto Calcio

The main points for the tip for Legnago Salus x Asd Pineto Calcio:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Legnago Salus in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on ASD Pineto Calcio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-140.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Legnago Salus conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Legnago Salus as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Legnago Salus x Asd Pineto Calcio for the Italy Serie C Group B – 29 of September

🏟️ Legnago Salus X Asd Pineto Calcio – Italy Serie C Group B
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 09:00
πŸ”΅ Legnago Salus – Winning probability: 16.98% | Fair line: 5.89
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.86% | Fair line: 3.47
πŸ”΄ Asd Pineto Calcio – Winning probability: 54.16% | Fair line: 1.85
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Legnago Salus
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Legnago Salus and Asd Pineto Calcio.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Legnago Salus x Asd Pineto Calcio

Should you bet on Legnago Salus?

πŸ”΅ Legnago Salus: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.56. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $435.20;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$394.80.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – profiting $701.80;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$8.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on Asd Pineto Calcio?

πŸ”΄ Asd Pineto Calcio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – profiting $475.20;
  • And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$15.20 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Legnago Salus x Asd Pineto Calcio

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Legnago Salus
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Legnago Salus x Asd Pineto Calcio

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Legnago Salus and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Legnago Salus.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Legnago Salus x Asd Pineto Calcio

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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